9 predictions for first signings (Fantasy Football)


Now that we know where each rookie landed, making predictions on how they might fare in their first season becomes a much less complicated task. Even then, you can only make an accurate prediction once you know each team’s depth, surrounding talent, and scheme. Heading into last season, all of these factors let many in the industry know that Najee Harris and Ja’Marr Chase were going to have an immediate impact, even if the results were even better than expected. most expected, especially for Chase. It’s still early days and a lot can change between now and the start of the season, but it’s the perfect time for our featured experts to try and project what we might see from the rookie class this year.

2022 NFL Draft Notes for all 32 teams >>

Q1. Which recruit are you most interested in drafting for the redraft leagues and what are your expectations?

Breece Hall (RB-NYJ)
“There’s really only one rookie worth getting excited about re-drafting: Breece Hall. He’s going to get Michael Carter out of the way immediately and take on the majority of the Jets’ runs. Hall is a terrific prospect who had three seasons of top production at Iowa State and then tore it up at the Combine, recording a 98th percentile sprint score and a 94th percentile burst score He has a three-try skill set , and even if the Jets don’t let Hall become a real workhorse right away, he has a good chance of racking up more than 1,200 scrimmage yards and at least 6-7 touchdowns in a Jets improved offense. is third-round value in the draft leagues and could start creeping into the second if the training camp buzz starts to build.
Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

“My highest ranked rookie running back is Brece room. The Jets selected the Iowa State product in the lead in the second inning, signifying his status as the team’s locked RB1 for the foreseeable future. Hall’s three-try skill set suggests he’ll never have to leave the field, and the massive volume he’s collecting will propel him into top-20 running back territory. A workload of around 240 touches — based on projections by ESPN fantasy analyst Mike Clay — would put Hall in the top 15 considering every running back last season who reached that threshold finished in that ranking. ”
Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

Drake London (WR-ATL)
“Drake London is 6ft 4in and 215lbs alpha mentality. Representing 27.7% of USC’s receiving share, he could rival that number in 2022, as the Falcons opted out of the job after selecting London with the 8th overall selection. London is much more than the contested one-trick pony that some would paint it. While 23 of his targets in 2021 came with an aDOT of 20 yards or more, 77 of the 119 total came either behind LOS or on short passes (0-9 yards). Pairing London with Kyle Pitts, the Falcons have two interchangeable skyscrapers with massive catch windows for Marus Mariota to target. Add in the negative game scripts, and London could be well on its way to hitting over 120 targets in the first year.
Tommy Garrett (Professional Football Network)

Isaiah Spiller (RB – BAC)
“Isiah Spiller has been touted as one of the best defenders in this class. However, his surprising day three selection has many people doubting. The Chargers have been looking for a back-up back for Austin Ekeler since the departure of Melvin Gordon. I see two paths to the relevance of fantasy for this youngster returning next year. The obvious path is an injury to Ekeler, and the second path is touchdown production. Last season, the Chargers as a team averaged the second-most red-zone rush attempts per game, and Ekeler was second in the league in total red-zone attempts. I don’t see this offense slowing down, but after quadrupling his career high in rushing touchdowns, Ekeler is screaming touchdown regression. Spiller is one of my favorite late picks in the draft this year and his “backup” title should provide draft day value. ”
Ellis Johnson (True North Fantasy Football)

Skyy Moore (WR–KC)
“It’s hard to ignore Skyy Moore as the most viable breakout candidate among rookie receivers. With a current ADP outside the top 160, behind the likes of Chris Carson, DeVante Parker and DJ Chark, Moore represents the “One of the best redrafting values ​​to date. Its ceiling as a Golden Tate-like multi-tool gimmick makes me consider it a potential top 24 in redrafting formats.
–Kyle Williams (Fantasy Six Pack)

Q2. Which under-the-radar recruit (i.e. Elijah Mitchell in 2021) is your favorite sleeper this year and why?

Tyler Allgeier (RB-ATL)
“Love me by Tyler Allgeier. The Atlanta Falcons’ fifth-round running back ranks first in rushing yards after contact (1,847), second in rushing touchdowns (36) third in PFF rushing rating (94.8) among FBS players with at least 150 runs over the past two seasons. I believe he would have been taken by the Falcons in Round 4 had they had a pick available to them, so I don’t think it’s fair to view the RBs who went to Round 4 with greater respect . I also don’t think it’s weird to think that he’s already the best pure rusher among a backfield of Cordarelle Patterson, Damien Williams and Qadree Ollison. He has proven himself capable of taking on a huge workload as both a rusher and receiver, unlike any other back for the Dirty Birds. ”
Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

Alec Pierce (WR–IND)
“When looking for sleepers in 2022, my first thought is to look for paths of least resistance for opportunities. Alec Pierce, WR of Cincinnati, found himself in an extraordinary situation after being selected by the Indianapolis Colts at pick No. 53. Beyond Michael Pittman Jr., the Colts needed additional wide receivers because Parris Campbell can’t be counted on to stay healthy. who backed up his explosiveness on tape with sensational test numbers (9.83 RAS), Pierce brings a much-needed explosive aspect to the Colts’ offense Matt Ryan shows no signs of slowing down and has the skills to take on loads two fantasy-relevant receivers.”
Tommy Garrett (Professional Football Network)

Khalil Shakir (WR – BUF)
“Khalil Shakir is a baller, and it’s surprising how little he is respected in the early rookie rankings and in the ADP, where he fell badly in the third round. Shakir comes into a great situation at Buffalo , where he could take over slot duties from current free agent Cole Beasley if he can’t beat the limited and injury-prone Jamison Crowder Shakir had 192 catches in his last three seasons at Boise State , earning an 84th percentile college dominator rating, according to PlayerProfiler.com Shakir is a plus-athlete and plus-plus competitor who captained the Boise State team as a junior and plays every game like it was his last Catch him in the third round of the Dynasty rookie draft and the final round of a redraft.
Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

Matt Corral (QB – CAR)
“Matt Corral isn’t getting any attention within the fantasy community and is lumped in with every other QB taken after Pickett. I think he has as clear a chance as anyone to be the day one starter. In college, he was solid under pressure and was overly aggressive at times throwing himself into tight cover.Exactly the opposite of Sam Darnold, who didn’t convince anyone in the organization.I expect Corral to impress with his athleticism and uses point guards DJ Moore and CMC, to finally win the city before the start of the season.”
Ellis Johnson (True North Fantasy Football)

Dameon Pierce (RB–HOU)
“Dameon Pierce is a name we may hear for years to come. In a backfield that’s out an oft-injured Marlon Mack and a career third stringer in Rex Burkhead, the Texans and new head coach Lovie Smith may choose to go for their newly drafted fourth-round runner. Hee is an aggressive runner with soft hands in a potential control offense. I can see this young man pushing for a top 30 RB role by the end of the season.
Kyle Williams (Fantasy Six-Pack)


Thanks to the experts for taking the time to provide their predictions and analysis. Please follow them on Twitter to learn more about their analysis.

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